Itโs become more important than Washingtonโs official alliances today.
Chinese President Xi Jinpingโs decision to visit Moscow this week in his first trip abroad since his reelection comes as no surprise to those who have been watching carefully. When one steps back and analyzes the relationship between China and Russia, the brute facts cannot be denied: Along every dimensionโpersonal, economic, military, and diplomaticโthe undeclared alliance that Xi has built with Russian President Vladimir Putin has become much more consequential than most of the United Statesโ official alliances today.
Chinese President Xi Jinpingโs decision to visit Moscow this week in his first trip abroad since his reelection comes as no surprise to those who have been watching carefully. When one steps back and analyzes the relationship between China and Russia, the brute facts cannot be denied: Along every dimensionโpersonal, economic, military, and diplomaticโthe undeclared alliance that Xi has built with Russian President Vladimir Putin has become much more consequential than most of the United Statesโ official alliances today.
Many observers still find this alliance hard to believe. As former U.S. Defense Secretaryย James Mattisย put it in 2018, Moscow and Beijing have a โnatural nonconvergence of interests.โ Geography, history, culture, and economicsโall the factors that students of international relations focus onโgive both nations many reasons to be adversaries.
On todayโs map, large swaths of what was in earlier centuries Chinese territory are now within Russiaโs borders. This includes Moscowโs key naval base in the Pacific, Vladivostokโwhich on Chinese military maps isย still labeledย by its Chinese name, Haishenwai. The 2,500-mile border between the two nations has repeatedly seen violent clashes, most recently in 1969. On the Russian side, the land east of the Ural Mountains is full of natural resources but has a population of just 32 million people, while on the Chinese side, hundreds of millions of people live with few natural resources.
Byย Graham Allison